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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $1.5K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Chopsticks catch Starship? 47%Super Heavy booster explodes? 42%Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? 70%November 30, 2026 74%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

7 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
October 31, 2026<1%———
November 15, 202617%———
November 30, 202674%———
Super Heavy booster explodes?42%———
Successful splash down?26%———
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?70%———
Chopsticks catch Starship?47%———

7 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 7 options

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Resolution criteria
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15.