MarketsElections
Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $0
Thomas Aeschi 45%Marco Chiesa 45%Jean-Pierre Gallati 45%Michael Graber 45%
8 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Thomas Aeschi45%———
Marco Chiesa45%———
Jean-Pierre Gallati45%———
Michael Graber45%———
Franz Ruppen45%———
Rémy Wyssmann45%———
Pierre Alain Schnegg45%———
Céline Amaudruz43%———
8 options trading, by chance.
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- Resolution criteria
- Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether the elected individual accepts the election, is sworn in, or assumes office will not affect the resolution of this market. If no such individual is elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland and the Swiss Federal Assembly; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.