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Texas Governor loser concedes by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 8m agoPolymarket 24h vol $60

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

November 4 63%November 3 59%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

2 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
November 359%———
November 463%———

2 open levels, in level order.

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Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between Gina Hinojosa and Greg Abbott, the candidate who does not win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election concedes that election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election, will not be the next Governor of Texas, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the relevant candidate begins speaking within this market's timeframe will qualify, even if the declaration of concession falls outside this market's timeframe. If neither of the listed candidates wins the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both listed candidates make a concession as described above. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations (e.g., if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone) will not count. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.