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The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $175.7

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 24 options

Big Walk 48%Mina the Hollower 33%Mewgenics 13%Cairn 3%

24 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Big Walk48%———
Mina the Hollower33%———
Mewgenics13%———
Cairn3%———
Order of the Sinking Star2%———
Mixtape2%———
Esoteric Ebb2%———
Meccha Chameleon2%———
Fields of Mistria1%———
Mouse: P.I. For Hire<1%———
Replaced<1%———
Witchbrook<1%———
MIO: Memories in Orbit<1%———
Vampire Crawlers<1%———
ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies<1%———
Reanimal<1%———
Phonopolis<1%———
Neverway<1%———
inKONBINI: One Store. Many Stories<1%———
MOLE<1%———
Titanium Court<1%———
Grave Seasons<1%———
Tenebris Somnia<1%———
Coffee Talk Tokyo<1%———

24 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 24 options

Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.