Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 09:34 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $388.6

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? 1%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

1 level open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?1%———

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Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

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Resolution criteria: If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.