What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 10:35 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $1.8K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) 15%≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) 14%1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium 13%Dilution of Iran's Uranium 12%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

6 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)15%———

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)14%———

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium13%———

Dilution of Iran's Uranium12%———

Enriched Uranium Surrender8%———

Iran Reconstruction Funding6%———

6 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options

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