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What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $741

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 6 options

Winchester Model 1873 68%Colt Peacemaker 15%Colt M1911 8%Winchester Model 1894 7%

6 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Winchester Model 187368%———
Colt Peacemaker15%———
Colt M19118%———
Winchester Model 18947%———
M1 Garand4%———
Remington Model 700<1%———

6 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).