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What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $3.6K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

CapEx / Capital Expenditure 50%Inflation 20+ times 49%AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times 45%Pressure / Stagflation 56%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

20 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Price 30+ times57%———
Inflation 20+ times49%———
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times45%———
SI / Super Intelligence43%———
Good Day95%———
Good Afternoon5%———
Payroll44%———
Oversight25%———
Conflict / Middle East68%———
Good Question84%———
CapEx / Capital Expenditure50%———
Soft / Softening37%———
Software13%———
Pressure / Stagflation56%———
President / Trump56%———
Pandemic / Recession28%———
Unchanged / Dissent40%———
Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas76%———
Gold / Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency12%———
-No Qualifying Event-1%———

20 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 20 options

Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf