Where will it rain on October 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 15:34 UTCCloses Nov 1, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $562.6

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Los Angeles, CA 50%Chicago, IL 50%Houston, TX 50%Dallas, TX 50%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

14 levels open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

New York, NY1%——none

Los Angeles, CA50%——none

Chicago, IL50%——none

Houston, TX50%——none

Dallas, TX50%——none

Phoenix, AZ50%——none

Philadelphia, PA46%——none

Washington, DC26%——none

Atlanta, GA50%——none

Miami, FL50%——none

Seattle, WA46%——none

Boston, MA1%——none

New Orleans, LA50%——none

San Francisco, CA50%——none

14 options trading.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.