Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 09:34 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $9.2K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Frontier Airlines 8%JetBlue 7%Allegiant 5%American Airlines 4%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

5 levels open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

JetBlue7%———

Frontier Airlines8%———

Allegiant5%———

American Airlines4%———

Alaska Airlines3%———

5 options trading.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.