Which bills will become law in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 08:35 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $641.7

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Export-control chip security 36%Data center utility cost protection 17%FISA Section 702 reauthorization 15%Credit-card routing competition 11%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

14 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Export-control chip security36%———

Data center utility cost protection17%———

FISA Section 702 reauthorization15%———

Credit-card routing competition11%———

NO FAKES Act11%———

Critical-minerals stockpile10%———

AI-chip export licensing8%———

DEFIANCE Act7%———

$2.50 Coin7%———

Smithsonian Women’s History Museum5%———

SELF DRIVE Act4%———

Film/TV production expensing4%———

Trump Airport4%———

SHOWER Act1%———

14 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if X is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if X is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.