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Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q4 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 14m agoPolymarket 24h vol $3.2K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Credo Technology (CRDO) 27%Cheniere Energy (LNG) 38%SoFi Technologies (SOFI) 29%Astera Labs (ALAB) 27%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

12 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Cheniere Energy (LNG)38%———
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)29%———
Credo Technology (CRDO)27%———
Astera Labs (ALAB)27%———
HEICO (HEI)25%———
Affirm Holdings (AFRM)25%———
Medline (MDLN)24%———
MongoDB (MDB)21%———
Okta (OKTA)21%———
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)18%———
Rocket Companies (RKT)17%———
Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)5%———

12 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index. An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).