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Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $1K
Anthropic 57%Moonshot 43%Alibaba 43%Z.ai 43%
21 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Anthropic57%——none
Moonshot43%——none
Alibaba43%——none
Z.ai43%——none
Meta38%——none
MiniMax32%——none
OpenAI27%——none
Microsoft24%——none
Tencent17%——none
StepFun17%——none
DeepSeek14%——none
ByteDance6%——none
Xiaomi6%——none
Google6%——none
Baidu6%——none
Amazon6%——none
Nvidia6%——none
Thinky6%——none
Mistral6%——none
Meituan6%——none
SpaceXAI6%——none
21 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
21 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”