Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 09:34 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $293.1

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Belgium 13%New Zealand 10%Italy 8%Finland 7%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

11 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Belgium13%———

New Zealand10%———

Italy8%———

Finland7%———

Greece7%———

Israel6%———

The Netherlands6%———

United States5%———

Germany5%———

Austria4%———

Japan4%———

11 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.