Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 10:35 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $543.3

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Mexico 15%Israel 13%Japan 11%Australia 11%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

17 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Mexico15%———

Israel13%———

Japan11%———

Australia11%———

Vietnam11%———

Russia11%———

South Korea11%———

India10%———

Canada10%———

Pakistan10%———

United Kingdom10%———

Argentina9%———

Indonesia8%———

Taiwan8%———

South Africa7%———

Brazil7%———

European Union6%———

17 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.