Which Dota 2 Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 07:35 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $47.8

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Team Tidebound 40%Xtreme Gaming 39%Natus Vincere 33%Team Spirit 31%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

14 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Team Spirit31%———

PARIVISION11%———

BetBoom Team26%———

Team Liquid26%———

Team Yandex19%———

OG29%———

1w Team25%———

GamerLegion28%———

Aurora Gaming29%———

Natus Vincere33%———

Xtreme Gaming39%———

Team Tidebound40%———

LGD Gaming71%———

Yakult Brothers27%———

14 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active Dota 2 roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page, https://liquipedia.net/dota2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, loan, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup, and any return of an inactive player to the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur within this market's timeframe, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. If the listed team disbands its Dota 2 roster within this market's timeframe, this will count as a roster change. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match or tournament will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active Dota 2 roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page, https://liquipedia.net/dota2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, loan, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup, and any return of an inactive player to the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur within this market's timeframe, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. If the listed team disbands its Dota 2 roster within this market's timeframe, this will count as a roster change. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match or tournament will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.