Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 1m agoPolymarket 24h vol $1.1K
Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%
Pete Buttigieg 27%Rahm Emanuel 23%Andy Beshear 16%Ron DeSantis 15%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
71 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Pete Buttigieg27%———
Rahm Emanuel23%———
Andy Beshear16%———
Ron DeSantis15%———
Gavin Newsom13%———
Phil Murphy13%———
Ted Cruz9%———
Mark Kelly9%———
Raphael Warnock9%———
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%———
J.B. Pritzker8%———
Glenn Youngkin8%———
Cory Booker7%———
Don Lemon7%———
Beto O’Rourke7%———
Rand Paul7%———
Kamala Harris6%———
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.6%———
Gina Raimondo6%———
Brian Kemp6%———
Josh Hawley6%———
J.D. Vance5%———
Vivek Ramaswamy5%———
Jon Stewart5%———
Nikki Haley5%———
Elise Stefanik5%———
Jon Ossoff5%———
Greg Abbott5%———
George Clooney5%———
Josh Shapiro4%———
Hunter Biden4%———
Andrew Yang4%———
Tucker Carlson4%———
Marco Rubio4%———
Tom Brady4%———
Donald Trump Jr.4%———
Matt Gaetz4%———
John Thune4%———
Erika Kirk4%———
Marjorie Taylor Greene4%———
Gretchen Whitmer4%———
Elon Musk4%———
Zohran Mamdani3%———
Wes Moore3%———
John Fetterman3%———
Donald Trump3%———
Kristi Noem3%———
Steve Bannon3%———
Hillary Clinton3%———
Candace Owens3%———
Ivanka Trump3%———
Barack Obama3%———
Michelle Obama3%———
Liz Cheney3%———
Bernie Sanders2%———
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%———
LeBron James2%———
Oprah Winfrey2%———
Katie Britt2%———
Mike Pence2%———
Kim Kardashian2%———
Tulsi Gabbard2%———
MrBeast2%———
Jared Polis2%———
Roy Cooper2%———
Mark Cuban1%———
Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%———
Tim Walz1%———
Chelsea Clinton1%———
Stephen A. Smith<1%———
Byron Donalds<1%———
71 options trading, by chance.
Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 71 options
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.