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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $1.4K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Andy Beshear 89%Pete Buttigieg 86%Ted Cruz 83%Gavin Newsom 77%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

71 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Andy Beshear89%———
Pete Buttigieg86%———
Ted Cruz83%———
Gavin Newsom77%———
J.D. Vance74%———
Josh Shapiro69%———
Ron DeSantis66%———
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez63%———
Mark Kelly62%———
Brian Kemp61%———
Wes Moore61%———
Rahm Emanuel61%———
Cory Booker60%———
Kamala Harris58%———
J.B. Pritzker58%———
Rand Paul55%———
Jon Ossoff50%———
Raphael Warnock47%———
Marco Rubio43%———
Phil Murphy41%———
Andrew Yang41%———
Katie Britt38%———
Jared Polis37%———
Gina Raimondo34%———
Glenn Youngkin34%———
Gretchen Whitmer32%———
Hunter Biden31%———
Steve Bannon30%———
Josh Hawley29%———
Marjorie Taylor Greene26%———
Elise Stefanik25%———
Nikki Haley25%———
Greg Abbott25%———
Byron Donalds24%———
Vivek Ramaswamy23%———
Don Lemon23%———
Roy Cooper20%———
Sarah Huckabee Sanders20%———
Tulsi Gabbard20%———
Stephen A. Smith19%———
Mark Cuban19%———
John Fetterman18%———
Donald Trump Jr.18%———
Matt Gaetz18%———
Tucker Carlson17%———
Kristi Noem17%———
Jon Stewart16%———
Mike Pence16%———
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson16%———
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.16%———
Candace Owens16%———
John Thune15%———
Michelle Obama15%———
Liz Cheney14%———
George Clooney13%———
Oprah Winfrey13%———
Elon Musk13%———
Donald Trump12%———
Bernie Sanders12%———
Beto O’Rourke12%———
Kim Kardashian12%———
LeBron James11%———
Chelsea Clinton10%———
Tom Brady10%———
Zohran Mamdani9%———
MrBeast9%———
Tim Walz8%———
Ivanka Trump7%———
Erika Kirk6%———
Hillary Clinton4%———
Barack Obama2%———

71 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.