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Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $324.2

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 22 options

Merav Ben Ari 25%Orit Farkash-Hacohen 25%Matan Kahana 23%Eitan Ginzburg 20%

22 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
No speaker by Feb 2816%———
Amir Ohana16%———
Ofir Katz19%———
Eli Cohen16%———
Oded Forer16%———
Matan Kahana23%———
Orit Farkash-Hacohen25%———
Elazar Stern18%———
Yair Lapid19%———
Naftali Bennett17%———
Eitan Ginzburg20%———
Merav Ben Ari25%———
Ahmad Tibi18%———
Mickey Levy17%———
Yuli Edelstein3%———
Yariv Levin20%———
David Amsalem19%———
Miki Zohar18%———
Avi Dichter18%———
Orna Barbivai8%———
Gilad Kariv7%———
Hili Tropper18%———

22 open levels, in level order.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.