Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 08:35 UTCCloses Jan 20, 2029Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 11 options

Ted Cruz 44%James Ho 39%Gregory Katsas 37%Amul Thapar 21%

11 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Ted Cruz44%———

James Ho39%———

Gregory Katsas37%———

Amul Thapar21%———

Aileen Cannon18%———

Andrew Oldham13%———

Mike Lee8%———

Patrick Bumatay6%———

Steven Menashi5%———

Neomi Rao5%———

John Sauer4%———

11 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.