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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $395.2

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sergei Pavlovich 11%Alexander Volkov 10%Dricus Du Plessis 8%Magomed Ankalaev 7%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

26 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Sergei Pavlovich11%———
Alexander Volkov10%———
Dricus Du Plessis8%———
Magomed Ankalaev7%———
Paddy Pimblett7%———
Nassourdine Imavov6%———
Merab Dvalishvili6%———
Max Holloway6%———
Sean O'Malley5%———
Charles Oliveira5%———
Jiří Procházka5%———
Aljamain Sterling5%———
Shavkat Rakhmonov4%———
Manel Kape4%———
Belal Muhammad3%———
Yair Rodriguez3%———
Arman Tsarukyan3%———
Cory Sandhagen3%———
Ian Machado Garry2%———
Diego Lopes2%———
Jack Della Maddalena2%———
Leon Edwards1%———
Kamaru Usman1%———
Alexandre Pantoja1%———
Deiveson Figueiredo<1%———
Umar Nurmagomedov<1%———

26 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.