Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 00:34 UTCCloses Oct 20, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $2.3K

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? 3%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

1 level open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?3%———

1 option trading.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.