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Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $1.7K

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round? 7%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

1 level open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?7%———

1 open level, in level order.

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Resolution criteria
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in France on April 18, 2027, with a second round on May 2, 2027. A second round will be held if no candidate secures a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French government, specifically the Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel) (https://www.conseil-constitutionnel.fr/).