MarketsTech
Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $350.5
5-7 39%8-10 38%11-13 35%14+ 29%
5 options · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
<529%———
5-739%———
8-1038%———
11-1335%———
14+29%———
5 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of days in November 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).