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Will gas hit __ by end of October?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $20

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↓ $4.20 17%↓ $4.00 5%↑ $4.50 4%↑ $4.60 4%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

7 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
↑ $4.802%———
↑ $4.703%———
↑ $4.604%———
↑ $4.504%———
↓ $4.2017%———
↓ $4.005%———
↓ $3.803%———

7 open levels, in level order.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".