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Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $231.1

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

December 31 32%November 30 15%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

2 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
November 3015%———
December 3132%———

2 open levels, in level order.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lana Del Rey officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.