Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 10:35 UTCLast trade · 4m agoCloses Jan 15, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $1.4K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↑ 7.50% 45%↓ 7.00% 32%↑ 8.00% 30%↑ 7.75% 26%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

11 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

↑ 8.00%30%———

↑ 7.75%26%———

↑ 7.50%45%———

↓ 7.00%32%———

↓ 6.75%18%———

↓ 6.50%20%———

↓ 6.25%13%———

↓ 6.00%7%———

↓ 5.90%3%———

↓ 5.70%<1%———

↓ 5.50%2%———

11 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.