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Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $180.8

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

December 31 32%October 31 2%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

2 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
October 312%———
December 3132%———

2 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.