Will Trump be impeached by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 06:35 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $3.3K

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

June 30, 2027 47%December 31, 2027 64%December 31, 2026 2%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

3 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 31, 20262%———

June 30, 202747%———

December 31, 202764%———

3 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.