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Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $90.3

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

March 31 30%December 31 11%October 31 4%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

3 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
October 314%———
December 3111%———
March 3130%———

3 open levels, in level order.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zack Polanski ceases to be Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Zack Polanski's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Zack Polanski and the Green Party of England and Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.