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MarketsMovies & TV

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN6 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 56m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sense and Sensibility 76%The Odyssey 72%The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 47%I Love Boosters 32%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

6 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
The Black Ball84%—75%none
Sense and Sensibility76%+7.0 pts60%none
The Odyssey72%−6.5 pts75%none
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth47%+5.5 pts42%none
I Love Boosters32%+7.5 pts23%1 · 1
Digger17%−2.5 pts15%none

6 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 56m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
The Black Ball84%75%−9
Sense and Sensibility76%60%−16
The Odyssey72%75%+3
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth47%42%−5
I Love Boosters32%23%−9
Digger17%15%−2

AI analysts' average · Sense and Sensibility

60%

16 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Sense and Sensibility: AI 60% vs market 76%, 16 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 58m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
I Love Boosters21 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options

Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Costume Design. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Costume Design when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Sense and Sensibility · Buy YesOption 2 of 6

Polymarket price · live

Yes89¢
No69¢
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Before you decide · Sense and Sensibility

  • News5 today · latest 3h
  • AI analysts60% · 16 pts below
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

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