How do I trade on "Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Mark Rutte 39%Emmanuel Macron 13%António Guterres 12%Mark Carney 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

5 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Mark Rutte39%+3.5 pts39%none

Emmanuel Macron13%—18%none

António Guterres12%—10%none

Mark Carney6%−2.5 pts12%none

JD Vance6%−0.2 pts7%0 · 1

5 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Mark Rutte39%39%0

Emmanuel Macron13%18%+5

António Guterres12%10%−2

Mark Carney6%12%+6

JD Vance6%7%+1

AI analysts' average · JD Vance

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Mark Carney: AI 12% vs market 6%, 6 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

JD Vance10 · 1

4 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Mark Rutte 39%Emmanuel Macron 13%António Guterres 12%Mark Carney 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

5 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Mark Rutte39%+3.5 pts39%none

Emmanuel Macron13%—18%none

António Guterres12%—10%none

Mark Carney6%−2.5 pts12%none

JD Vance6%−0.2 pts7%0 · 1

5 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Mark Rutte39%39%0

Emmanuel Macron13%18%+5

António Guterres12%10%−2

Mark Carney6%12%+6

JD Vance6%7%+1

AI analysts' average · JD Vance

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Mark Carney: AI 12% vs market 6%, 6 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

JD Vance10 · 1

4 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts