MarketsMovies & TV
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN15 levels openResearch 1h ago
Robert Pattinson 50%Ryan Gosling 43%John Turturro 42%Anthony Ippolito 39%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
15 levels open · by chance
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
15 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Matt Damon91%86%−5
John Malkovich88%74%−14
Andrew Scott86%65%−21
Tom Cruise62%64%+2
Robert Pattinson50%36%−14
Ryan Gosling43%46%+3
+9 more options
AI analysts' average · Andrew Scott
65%
21 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts
Biggest gap
Andrew Scott: AI 65% vs market 86%, 21 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Andrew Scott21 · 1
Pedro Pascal20 · 2
Sam Rockwell20 · 2
Tom Cruise10 · 1
Robert Pattinson11 · 0
Timothée Chalamet10 · 1
Sebastian Stan11 · 0
Adam Driver10 · 1
6 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
