MarketsPolitics
Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN5 options
74%+ 35%70-72% 31%68-70% 16%72-74% 14%
5 options · in level order
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
5 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
66-68%2%6%+4
68-70%16%19%+3
70-72%31%26%−5
72-74%14%——
74%+35%33%−2
AI analysts' average · 72-74%
—
Biggest gap
70-72%: AI 26% vs market 31%, 5 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Israeli legislative election to the Knesset, defined as the total number of votes cast (סה"כ קולות שהוזנו) divided by the total number of eligible voters (סה"כ בעלי זכות בחירה). (see 2022 example: https://votes25.bechirot.gov.il/) If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
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