How do I trade on "Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN15 levels openCloses Jan 21, 2027Research 57m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tom Cruise 62%Robert Pattinson 50%Ryan Gosling 43%John Turturro 42%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

15 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Matt Damon92%−1.1 pts86%none

Andrew Scott86%−0.5 pts65%1 · 1

John Malkovich85%−3.5 pts74%none

Tom Cruise62%+0.5 pts64%0 · 1

Robert Pattinson50%+7.0 pts36%1 · 0

Ryan Gosling43%−1.5 pts46%none

John Turturro42%—29%none

Anthony Ippolito39%+0.5 pts27%none

Jaafar Jackson20%+3.5 pts20%—

Pedro Pascal19%+0.6 pts19%0 · 2

Sebastian Stan15%−1.0 pts22%1 · 0

Timothée Chalamet15%−0.5 pts23%0 · 1

Sam Rockwell8%+2.7 pts8%0 · 2

Josh O'Connor7%+0.7 pts7%none

Adam Driver6%+0.8 pts8%0 · 1

15 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 57m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Matt Damon92%86%−6

Andrew Scott86%65%−21

John Malkovich85%74%−11

Tom Cruise62%64%+2

Robert Pattinson50%36%−14

Ryan Gosling43%46%+3

+9 more options

AI analysts' average · John Malkovich

74%

11 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Andrew Scott: AI 65% vs market 86%, 21 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 19m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Andrew Scott21 · 1

Pedro Pascal20 · 2

Sam Rockwell20 · 2

Tom Cruise10 · 1

Robert Pattinson11 · 0

Sebastian Stan11 · 0

Timothée Chalamet10 · 1

Adam Driver10 · 1

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN15 levels openCloses Jan 21, 2027Research 57m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tom Cruise 62%Robert Pattinson 50%Ryan Gosling 43%John Turturro 42%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

15 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Matt Damon92%−1.1 pts86%none

Andrew Scott86%−0.5 pts65%1 · 1

John Malkovich85%−3.5 pts74%none

Tom Cruise62%+0.5 pts64%0 · 1

Robert Pattinson50%+7.0 pts36%1 · 0

Ryan Gosling43%−1.5 pts46%none

John Turturro42%—29%none

Anthony Ippolito39%+0.5 pts27%none

Jaafar Jackson20%+3.5 pts20%—

Pedro Pascal19%+0.6 pts19%0 · 2

Sebastian Stan15%−1.0 pts22%1 · 0

Timothée Chalamet15%−0.5 pts23%0 · 1

Sam Rockwell8%+2.7 pts8%0 · 2

Josh O'Connor7%+0.7 pts7%none

Adam Driver6%+0.8 pts8%0 · 1

15 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 57m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Matt Damon92%86%−6

Andrew Scott86%65%−21

John Malkovich85%74%−11

Tom Cruise62%64%+2

Robert Pattinson50%36%−14

Ryan Gosling43%46%+3

+9 more options

AI analysts' average · John Malkovich

74%

11 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Andrew Scott: AI 65% vs market 86%, 21 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 19m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Andrew Scott21 · 1

Pedro Pascal20 · 2

Sam Rockwell20 · 2

Tom Cruise10 · 1

Robert Pattinson11 · 0

Sebastian Stan11 · 0

Timothée Chalamet10 · 1

Adam Driver10 · 1

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts