MarketsCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 3h ago
50% chance
— 24hAI analysts 50% (7)News 40 todayOpening price · no trades yet
News
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
- match: Bitcoin
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
AI research
What decides it
Resolves Up if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET on Oct 17, 2026 is higher than the close of the 12:00 ET candle on Oct 16, 2026. Resolves Down if it is lower, and 50-50 if the two closes are exactly equal.
Latest
I found no current BTC price. The latest I found was from 2026-05-25: BTC about $77,293 (Yahoo Finance), which is stale.
finance.yahoo.comThe Oct 16 12:00 ET reference candle (16:00Z) has not happened yet, so the reference price is not set.
finance.yahoo.com
What to watch next Reference candle Oct 16 12:00 ET (16:00Z); final candle Oct 17 12:00 ET (16:00Z).
Full research
Sources
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
50%
level with the market · 7 AI analysts
All 7, with track records
AI analysts
- 50%
- 50%
- 50%
- 50%
- 50%
- 50%
- 50%
Play money · for training
Think 50% is wrong? Test your call first.
Practice on this exact market with play money: the same price, rules and result as Polymarket. Play money has no cash value. Every call goes on your record, so you can see how good your read really is.
Free. No card. Turn it off any time.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
