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Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN15 optionsCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 15 options

China 81%No meeting by December 31 16%Gulf country <1%United States <1%

15 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
China81%+0.5 pts60%3 · 1
No meeting by December 3116%+1.0 pts25%2 · 3
Gulf country<1%+0.6 pts1%none
United States<1%−1.5 pts2%1 · 0
Other<1%−0.6 pts10%none
Russia<1%+0.1 pts3%none
Turkey<1%+0.1 pts1%none
Belarus<1%—1%1 · 0
Finland<1%—1%none
Switzerland<1%—1%none
Other EU country<1%—1%none
South Korea———none
Japan———none
Australia———none
Ukraine———none

15 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
China81%60%−21
No meeting by December 3116%25%+9
Gulf country<1%1%0
United States<1%2%+1
Other<1%10%+9
Russia<1%3%+2
+9 more options

AI analysts' average · Gulf country

1%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

China: AI 60% vs market 81%, 21 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1h
    Russia targets European firms over Ukraine , largely spares US businesses as Putin - Trump ties warm
    timesofindia.indiatimes.com
  • 1h
    UK rejects Trump negotiator description of Vladimir Putin as humanitarian
    leaderlive.co.uk
  • 1h
    Putin agrees to resume talks on Ukraine war with Kyiv and US after talks with Trump envoy
    thejournal.ie
  • 1h
    Putin , Trump i wojna w Ukrainie . BBC ocenia szanse na szybki pokój
    rp.pl
  • 1h
    What China wants from a Trump-Putin summit on Ukraine
    Inquirer.net
  • 2h
    यूक्रेन युद्ध खत्म करने को फिर होगी त्रिपक्षीय वार्ता , पुतिन ने स्वीकार किया प्रस्ताव | ukraine - war - trilateral - talks - putin - trump - witkoff - november - 10
    deshbandhu.co.in
  • 4h
    Trump’s Capitulation to Putin Is Undermining U.S. National Security
    The Dispatch
  • 4h
    Putin wants to freeze Ukraine into submission. Trump keeps lifting sanctions.
    The Fulcrum
  • 5h
    The Trump about-turn that might have even surprised Putin
    ABC News & Headlines – Australian Broadcasting Corporation
  • 5h
    Tracking Trump: Russia frees U.S. citizen; Trump’s envoy praises Putin; MAGA Inc.’s midterm spending; and more
    The Washington Post
  • 7h
    RUSSIA’S NEXT MOVE: Trump pushes Ukraine peace deal as experts warn Putin could strike again
    Fox News
  • 8h
    Trump hopes to flatter Putin into negotiating on Ukraine, experts say
    NBC News
  • 9h
    Putin releases hostage to U.S., drawing praise from Trump administration
    The Japan Times
  • 9h
    War in Ukraine: Bolstered by Trump's support, Putin refuses to back down
    Le Monde.fr
  • 9h
    ‘Capitulating to a Dictator Shows Weakness’ – GOP Senator Warns Trump Is Emboldening Putin
    Kyiv Post
  • 10h
    Is Trump Choosing Putin?
    Substack
  • 11h
    Trump envoy meets Putin as new push to end Ukraine war faces major obstacles
    WBFF
  • 11h
    Russia Releases Imprisoned American Man as Trump Envoy Meets With Putin
    Time Magazine
  • 11h
    Trump Envoy Calls Putin a ‘Humanitarian’
    The New York Times
  • 12h
    Trump’s Putin Overtures Deserve Criticism. But Outrage Won’t End the Ukraine War.
    Council on Foreign Relations
  • 12h
    Trump May Not Be a Russian ‘Asset,’ But He’s Definitely Putin’s Stooge
    The Daily Beast
  • 14h
    Trump faces fresh questions over ties to 'humanitarian' Putin
    France 24
  • 15h
    Where Trump sees a deal, Putin sees a win for Russia
    CNN
  • 16h
    Trump’s Russia Envoy Praises Putin as a Great ‘Humanitarian’
    Rolling Stone
  • 17h
    Trump envoy Witkoff meets Putin in St. Petersburg for Ukraine war talks
    Live 5 News
  • 18h
    Kremlin Says China Preparing for Possible Putin-Trump-Xi Meeting
    Bloomberg.com
  • 21h
    Trump’s open alliance with Putin betrays the United States and helps Russia kill Ukrainians | Opinion
    Inquirer.com
  • 21h
    Putin orders release of jailed American as he meets Trump envoy for Ukraine talks | Russia
    The Guardian
  • 22h
    Trump envoy proposes Ukraine talks and summit with Putin and Xi
    Financial Times
  • 22h
    Putin, at talks with Witkoff, suggests he and Trump could meet in China
    Reuters
  • 23h
    GOP senators not happy about Trump’s warming relationship with Putin
    The Hill
  • 23h
    Russia releases American teacher imprisoned on Ukraine mercenary charges after Trump pressed Putin
    Fox News
  • 1d
    Trump's embrace of Putin jolts Europe, but not enough to break away
    Euronews.com
  • 1d
    Zelenskyy seeks to mend ties with Trump ahead of Witkoff-Putin meeting
    PBS
  • 1d
    US to offer Putin face-to-face talks with Zelenskyy and Trump
    POLITICO.eu
  • 1d
    Trump says he asked Putin to release American Stephen Hubbard
    Reuters
  • 1d
    Will Xi, Trump, Putin meet at Apec? First, they must agree on an agenda
    South China Morning Post
  • 1d
    Ukraine's Zelenskyy says if Trump "cannot rein Putin in," at least clear interceptor missile shipment
    CBS News
  • 1d
    Putin has Trump right where he wants him
    Salon.com
  • 1d
    US envoy Witkoff to meet Putin, Trump presses Kyiv to settle
    Reuters
  • 2d
    Back in the eye of the storm: A Trump-Putin deal would require doing more to protect Ukraine and EUrope | EPC
    EPC, European Policy Centre
  • 2d
    Trump open to trilateral summit with Putin and Xi but wants denuclearization focus
    The Japan Times
  • 2d
    The Rekindled Trump-Putin Bromance
    Steady | Dan Rather
  • 2d
    Trump Says He Would Be Open to Meeting With Putin and Xi
    WSJ
  • 2d
    Kremlin says Putin, Trump and Xi could hold a three-way meeting in China next month
    Reuters
  • 2d
    Trump says he is open to trilateral summit with Putin and Xi
    Politico
  • 2d
    Trump on Putin-Xi summit without Zelenskyy: I would do anything to stop the war
    CNBC
  • 2d
    Trump open to idea of joint meeting with Xi, Putin next month
    Reuters
  • 2d
    Trump says he'd meet with Putin and Xi, criticizes Zelenskyy
    CNBC
  • 2d
    Potential Putin-XI summit on Ukraine appeals to Trump's focus on legacy: Atlantic Council's Kempe
    CNBC
  • 2d
    Putin floats potential summit with Trump, Xi to discuss Ukraine deal: WSJ
    CNBC
  • 2d
    Donald Trump finally gets his wish to be Vladimir Putin’s BFF
    Mother Jones
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 37m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
No meeting by December 3152 · 3
China43 · 1
United States11 · 0
Belarus11 · 0

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Gulf country · Buy YesOption 3 of 15

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No99¢
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Before you decide · Gulf country

  • News32 today · latest 1h
  • AI analysts1% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

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