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Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 optionsCloses Feb 1, 2027Research 52m ago

Polymarket price · top 2 of 2 options

Avengers: Doomsday 67%Spider-Man: Brand New Day 33%

2 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Avengers: Doomsday67%+3.5 pts71%1 · 2
Spider-Man: Brand New Day33%−3.0 pts39%0 · 2

2 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 52m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Avengers: Doomsday67%71%+4
Spider-Man: Brand New Day33%39%+6

AI analysts' average · Avengers: Doomsday

71%

4 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Spider-Man: Brand New Day: AI 39% vs market 33%, 6 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's movie traders by 3-month profit · updated 52m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Avengers: Doomsday31 · 2
Spider-Man: Brand New Day20 · 2

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Avengers: Doomsday · Buy YesOption 1 of 2

Polymarket price · live

Yes67¢
No34¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Avengers: Doomsday

  • News13 today · latest 2h
  • AI analysts71% · 4 pts above
  • Tiers 1–21 Yes · 2 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.