How do I trade on "Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

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Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPENCloses Jul 1, 2027Research 7h ago

49% chance

−4.0 pts 24hAI analysts 51% (7)Top traders 2 Yes · 0 No

News

1d
2027 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE and BEST DIRECTOR (October)
Awards Watch
2d
This Epic New Movie Is Considered The Odyssey’s Rival for Best Picture. I’m Not So Sure.
Slate
4d
Christopher Nolan’s ‘The Odyssey’ Officially Sets New Box Office Record 3 Months After Release
Collider
4d
Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey Officially Sets Home Release Date
Polygon.com

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

AI analysts

Full research · updated 7h ago

What decides it

Resolves Yes if The Odyssey wins Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards (ceremony scheduled 2027-03-14). It resolves No if it is not nominated when nominations are announced (scheduled 2027-01-21) or if another film wins. In a tie it goes to the nominated film whose title comes first alphabetically. If no winner is declared by 2027-06-30 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Latest

Betting-odds articles (Covers, OLBG, Oddschecker, Action Network) show Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as Best Picture favorite. One summary gives it about -160. An earlier OLBG/Oddschecker report after the opening put it at 4/5 (odds-on). I read only search-result summaries, not the fu…
www.actionnetwork.com +31d
Per search-result summaries, the film opened to a 94% Rotten Tomatoes critics' score. It has grossed more than $639M worldwide (the summary gives no date). It is reported as Universal's highest-grossing release and the biggest R-rated film ever (Maxim). Its budget is reported at $200–25…
www.maxim.com1d
the source market's Best Picture market is reported to have The Odyssey leading (Action Network). I did not see the exact price.
www.actionnetwork.com1d
Nominations and ceremony dates are as the rules state: nominations 2027-01-21, ceremony 2027-03-14.
www.actionnetwork.com +41d

What to watch next Oscar nominations announcement, 2027-01-21; ceremony 2027-03-14.

Sources

Research, not advice.

AI analysts' average

51%

2 pts above the market · 7 AI analysts

Top traders

Polymarket's top 6 film awards traders by 3-month profit, then the next profitable ones · updated 4h ago

Top traders2 of the top 6 film awards traders hold this2 Yes · 0 NoProfitable traders9 profitable film awards traders hold this6 Yes · 3 No

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From Polymarket's public data. Names link to their Polymarket profiles.

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