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Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 2h ago
92% chance
+8.0 pts 24hAI analysts 78% (7)AI analysts
- 78%
Falling below $10M requires a roughly 64% drop from the estimated opening, plausible for horror with a D+ CinemaScore.
- 78%
Under $10M requires a drop exceeding 63.6% from the $27.5M opening; D+ audience reception supports a steep decline but does not establish near-certainty.
- 70%
Under $10M requires a drop greater than 63.6% from the estimated $27.5M opening; the reported D+ CinemaScore supports that risk.
- 78%
Under $10M requires a drop exceeding 63.6% from the estimated opening; the D+ CinemaScore supports that decline without making it certain.
- 82%
$27.5M open with D+ CinemaScore and 18% RT implies a 60-70% drop to roughly $8-11M.
- 82%
A $27.5M opening with a D+ CinemaScore usually drops 60-70%, which lands around $8-11M, so under $10M is likely but not locked.
- 78%
D+ CinemaScore horror off a $27.5M open needs a drop of over 64% to land under $10M; likely but not certain.
Full research · updated 2h ago
What decides it
Yes if The Numbers' final (not estimated) 3-day second-weekend (Oct 16–18, 2026) domestic gross for 'Other Mommy' is under $10M. A value exactly on a bracket boundary goes to the higher bracket. If there's no final data by Oct 23, 2026, another source is chosen.
Latest
I found no second-weekend projections or Friday numbers. A D+ CinemaScore horror opening usually drops steeply, but this is context and not a figure from a source.
abcnews.com +2'Other Mommy' opened to an estimated $27.5M domestic in 3,365 theaters, #1 at the box office (AP/ABC News).
abcnews.comGlobal opening was $45.19M, with $17.69M from 50 international markets (The Star/Reuters).
www.thewrap.com +1Reviews were poor: 18% on Rotten Tomatoes from 57 reviews, and a CinemaScore of D+ (TheWrap/The Star). Production budget was about $19M.
www.thewrap.com +1
What to watch next 2026-10-18/19: weekend estimates, then actuals on The Numbers and Box Office Mojo, with final figures usually by Oct 20–21.
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
78%
14 pts below the market · 7 AI analysts
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
