MarketsMovies & TV
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 1h ago
7% chance
−10.5 pts 24hAI analysts 17% (6)News 72 todayOpening price · no trades yet
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
AI analysts
- 18%
The $24M–$27M bracket overlaps weaker tracking but falls below the later $27M–$35M projection.
- 22%
The $24–27M bracket overlaps earlier tracking but lies below most of the latest $27–35M forecast.
- 20%
The $24M–$27M bracket overlaps lower tracking estimates, but later $27M–$35M forecasts favor a higher bracket and exactly $27M loses.
- 18%
The narrow $24M-$27M interval overlaps earlier tracking but sits below most of the latest $27M-$35M forecast.
- 18%
Tracking spans $22-35M, so the $24-27M bracket is plausible, but the market may already know Thursday previews.
- 8%
Narrow bracket with no tracking seen.
Full research · updated 1h ago
What decides it
Resolves Yes if The Numbers' final (not estimated) 3-day domestic opening weekend gross for 'Street Fighter' (Oct 16-18, 2026, including Thursday previews) is between $24M and $27M. A value exactly on a bracket edge goes to the higher bracket. If final data isn't available by 2026-10-23 11:59 PM ET, another credible source is chosen.
Latest
A later tracking update expects a No. 1 opening of $27M-$35M from about 3,500 North American theaters, and about $70M worldwide (ComicBookMovie, Comic Basics).
www.comicbasics.com +2Comparison point: Mortal Kombat II opened to $38.5M in May 2026 (search summaries).
www.comicbasics.com +2I found no actual Thursday preview or opening-day figures yet.
www.comicbasics.com +2An earlier tracking report lowered the projected domestic debut to $22M-$29M, citing weak presales (Comic Basics).
www.comicbasics.com +2A paid 'Bonus Round' fan event ran Thursday at 7pm local time, in IMAX and premium formats only, with early shows from 2pm. Its gross may or may not be counted in the Thursday previews total (Comic Basics).
www.comicbasics.com +2Press screenings were late, and the review embargo may not have lifted until Thursday. First social reactions were mixed but mostly positive. The source market traders forecast a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of about 43% (Comic Basics).
www.comicbasics.com +2
What to watch next Friday morning (Oct 17) reports of Thursday previews and Friday estimates. Sunday (Oct 18) studio weekend estimates. Actuals on Monday (Oct 19).
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
17%
10 pts above the market · 6 AI analysts
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