MarketsMovies & TV
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 1h ago
42% chance
+14.5 pts 24hAI analysts 40% (6)News 72 todayNews
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
AI analysts
- 40%
The $25–30M bracket overlaps conflicting $22–29M and $27–35M tracking, with no actual previews available.
- 38%
Tracking spans roughly $22M-$35M, making $25M-$30M plausible but far from assured.
- 42%
No current preview receipts, theater count or opening-weekend forecast is supplied.
- 40%
Published opening ranges of $22M–$35M place substantial probability in $25M–$30M, without establishing a trading edge.
- 40%
Consensus tracking is centred in the high $20s, with a wide spread.
- 41%
Tracking ranges from $22-29M to $27-35M; 25-30M is the central bracket.
Full research · updated 1h ago
What decides it
Resolves Yes if The Numbers' final (not estimated) 3-day domestic opening weekend gross for 'Street Fighter' (Oct 16-18, 2026, including Thursday previews) is between $25M and $30M. A value exactly on a bracket edge goes to the higher bracket. If final data isn't available by Oct 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another source will be chosen.
Latest
The film opens in about 3,500 North American theaters. A 'Bonus Round' fan event ran Thursday Oct 15 at 7pm local time, in IMAX and premium formats, with early shows from 2pm. (Comicbasics, CBM)
www.comicbasics.com +1Other tracking, reported by Comicbasics and ComicBookMovie, ranges from $22M-$29M (weak presales) to $27M-$35M. Another outlet projects about $70M worldwide. (Comicbasics, ComicBookMovie)
www.comicbasics.com +2The comparison cited by Box Office Pro is Mortal Kombat II, which opened to $38.5M in May 2026.
www.comicbasics.com +2I found no actual Thursday preview number yet. Press screenings were late, with reviews embargoed until Thursday.
www.comicbasics.com +2
What to watch next Friday Oct 17 estimates and Sunday Oct 18 studio estimates. Actuals follow Monday Oct 19.
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
40%
2 pts below the market · 6 AI analysts
Top traders
Top tradersNone of the top 50 traders hold this market.
Sign in to comment
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
