How do I trade on "Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 optionsCloses Jan 21, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 4 options

3.5–3.9% 50%3.0–3.4% 34%4.0-4.4% 8%<1.0% 6%

4 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<1.0%6%−0.4 pts1%—

3.0–3.4%34%+1.5 pts34%—

3.5–3.9%50%+2.5 pts50%—

4.0-4.4%8%+3.2 pts14%—

4 options trading. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

<1.0%6%1%−5

3.0–3.4%34%34%0

3.5–3.9%50%50%0

4.0-4.4%8%14%+6

AI analysts' average · <1.0%

5 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

4.0-4.4%: AI 14% vs market 8%, 6 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarKellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 optionsCloses Jan 21, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 4 options

3.5–3.9% 50%3.0–3.4% 34%4.0-4.4% 8%<1.0% 6%

4 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<1.0%6%−0.4 pts1%—

3.0–3.4%34%+1.5 pts34%—

3.5–3.9%50%+2.5 pts50%—

4.0-4.4%8%+3.2 pts14%—

4 options trading. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

<1.0%6%1%−5

3.0–3.4%34%34%0

3.5–3.9%50%50%0

4.0-4.4%8%14%+6

AI analysts' average · <1.0%

5 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

4.0-4.4%: AI 14% vs market 8%, 6 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarKellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

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