MarketsPolitics
Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN18 optionsResearch 2h ago
Vladan Đokić 13%Miloš Vučević 7%Dejan Šoškić 6%Đuro Macut 3%
18 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
18 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Vladan Đokić13%13%0
Miloš Vučević7%16%+9
Dejan Šoškić6%3%−3
Đuro Macut3%5%+2
Vladan Petrov3%15%+12
Ivica Dačić2%2%0
+12 more options
AI analysts' average · Dejan Šoškić
3%
3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 0 level, 1 price closer, on 316 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Miloš VučevićNo SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 2, #40 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 2, #40 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
17 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Serbian government, specifically the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia (https://www.stat.gov.rs/).
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