MarketsCrypto
Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN11 levels openResearch 17h ago
76,000 79%78,000 55%80,000 28%82,000 11%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
11 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
11 options trading.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
80,000No ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 ssddssdssddssd: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
84,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
86,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if the final Close of Binance's BTC/USDT 1 minute candle closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on November 4, 2026 is strictly higher than $86,000; otherwise No. Binance's BTC/USDT chart with '1m' and 'Candles' selected determines the price and its decimal precision.
- Watch out
- Only Binance BTC/USDT's 1 minute candle closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) counts. A Close equal to $86,000 resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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