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MarketsPolitics

British Columbia General Election Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 optionsCloses Oct 25, 2026Research 41m ago

Polymarket price · top 2 of 2 options

Conservative 88%NDP 13%

2 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Conservative88%—68%2 · 1
NDP13%—19%1 · 0

2 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 41m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Conservative88%68%−20
NDP13%19%+6

AI analysts' average · NDP

19%

6 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Conservative: AI 68% vs market 88%, 20 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's election traders by 3-month profit · updated 36m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Conservative32 · 1
NDP11 · 0

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Resolution criteria
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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NDP · Buy YesOption 2 of 2

Polymarket price · live

Yes13¢
No88¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · NDP

  • News1 today · latest 21h
  • AI analysts19% · 6 pts above
  • Tiers 1–21 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.