How do I trade on "Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN17 levels openCloses Dec 31, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↑ 4.25% 79% ↑ 4.5% 9% ↑ 4.75% 8% ↑ 5.0% 3%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

17 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

↑ 5.5%2%−0.1 pts2%none

↑ 5.25%2%—3%none

↑ 5.0%3%+0.1 pts6%none

↑ 4.75%8%+1.8 pts5%none

↑ 4.5%9%−0.7 pts12%1 · 0

↑ 4.25%79%+1.4 pts71%1 · 0

↓ 3.25%2%−0.3 pts4%1 · 1

↓ 3.0%1%−0.1 pts2%none

↓ 2.75%2%−0.1 pts1%0 · 1

↓ 2.25%2%−0.1 pts1%none

↓ 2.0%1%+0.1 pts1%none

↓ 1.75%1%—1%none

↓ 1.5%2%—1%none

↓ 1.25%2%—1%none

↓ 1.0%2%+0.2 pts1%none

↓ 0.75%2%—1%none

↓ 0.25%2%−0.1 pts1%none

17 options trading. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

↑ 5.5%2%2%0

↑ 5.25%2%3%+1

↑ 5.0%3%6%+3

↑ 4.75%8%5%−3

↑ 4.5%9%12%+3

↑ 4.25%79%71%−8

+11 more options

AI analysts' average · ↓ 2.25%

1 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

↑ 4.25%: AI 71% vs market 79%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

4h
What Happens to AI Stocks if the Fed Hikes Rates Again?
The Globe and Mail
1d
Australian dollar to Indonesian rupiah rate faces deposit rate hike and MSCI pressure: AUD/IDR remains range-bound
Traders Union

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 58m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

↓ 3.25%21 · 1

↑ 4.5%11 · 0

↑ 4.25%11 · 0

↓ 2.75%10 · 1

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN17 levels openCloses Dec 31, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↑ 4.25% 79% ↑ 4.5% 9% ↑ 4.75% 8% ↑ 5.0% 3%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

17 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

↑ 5.5%2%−0.1 pts2%none

↑ 5.25%2%—3%none

↑ 5.0%3%+0.1 pts6%none

↑ 4.75%8%+1.8 pts5%none

↑ 4.5%9%−0.7 pts12%1 · 0

↑ 4.25%79%+1.4 pts71%1 · 0

↓ 3.25%2%−0.3 pts4%1 · 1

↓ 3.0%1%−0.1 pts2%none

↓ 2.75%2%−0.1 pts1%0 · 1

↓ 2.25%2%−0.1 pts1%none

↓ 2.0%1%+0.1 pts1%none

↓ 1.75%1%—1%none

↓ 1.5%2%—1%none

↓ 1.25%2%—1%none

↓ 1.0%2%+0.2 pts1%none

↓ 0.75%2%—1%none

↓ 0.25%2%−0.1 pts1%none

17 options trading. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

↑ 5.5%2%2%0

↑ 5.25%2%3%+1

↑ 5.0%3%6%+3

↑ 4.75%8%5%−3

↑ 4.5%9%12%+3

↑ 4.25%79%71%−8

+11 more options

AI analysts' average · ↓ 2.25%

1 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

↑ 4.25%: AI 71% vs market 79%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

4h
What Happens to AI Stocks if the Fed Hikes Rates Again?
The Globe and Mail
1d
Australian dollar to Indonesian rupiah rate faces deposit rate hike and MSCI pressure: AUD/IDR remains range-bound
Traders Union

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 58m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

↓ 3.25%21 · 1

↑ 4.5%11 · 0

↑ 4.25%11 · 0

↓ 2.75%10 · 1

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Resolution criteria: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Related Markets

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News