MarketsCrypto
Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level open
Ethereum Up or Down on October 26? 32%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
1 level open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 option trading.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?32%50%+18
AI analysts' average · Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?
50%
18 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 326 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Ethereum Up or Down on October 26?Yes TokorTokor: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1HaileyWelchHaileyWelch: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 · 0
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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