How do I trade on "Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Nov 4, 2026Research 51m ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 5 options

275K-290K 32%290K-305K 29%305K-320K 22%260K-275K 11%

5 options · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

260K-275K11%−4.1 pts12%none

275K-290K32%+6.5 pts32%none

290K-305K29%−3.0 pts30%none

305K-320K22%−1.5 pts18%none

320K+6%−1.0 pts9%none

5 open levels, in level order. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 51m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

260K-275K11%12%+1

275K-290K32%32%0

290K-305K29%30%+1

305K-320K22%18%−4

320K+6%9%+3

AI analysts' average · 290K-305K

30%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

305K-320K: AI 18% vs market 22%, 4 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Nov 4, 2026Research 51m ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 5 options

275K-290K 32%290K-305K 29%305K-320K 22%260K-275K 11%

5 options · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

260K-275K11%−4.1 pts12%none

275K-290K32%+6.5 pts32%none

290K-305K29%−3.0 pts30%none

305K-320K22%−1.5 pts18%none

320K+6%−1.0 pts9%none

5 open levels, in level order. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 51m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

260K-275K11%12%+1

275K-290K32%32%0

290K-305K29%30%+1

305K-320K22%18%−4

320K+6%9%+3

AI analysts' average · 290K-305K

30%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

305K-320K: AI 18% vs market 22%, 4 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Related Markets

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts