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Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPENCloses Nov 1, 2026

1% chance

−0.2 pts 24hNews 22 today

Opening price · no trades yet

Polymarket price

2News

  • 2h
    News | Former OpenAI home seeks buyer in San Francisco’s AI boom
    CoStar
  • 2h
    OpenAI model helps uncover PHP security flaws as FBI urges urgent action
    ABC10
  • 2h
    OpenAI offers university labs free GPT-Rosalind access | ETIH EdTech News
    EdTech Innovation Hub
  • 4h
    OpenAI says AI found security flaw that puts data at risk
    KVUE
  • 5h
    Show HN: Murmur, open-source push-to-talk dictation for Mac (BYO OpenAI key)
    github.com
  • 6h
    OpenAI chairman: AI will democratize education, legal advice, and healthcare
    Yahoo
  • 6h
    Alex Kantrowitz: Google, Anthropic, OpenAI will be looking for ways to fund the backbone of AI
    CNBC
  • 7h
    OpenAI, Anthropic, and Nvidia Spent Combined $7.5 Million On Lobbying in Q3
    Gadget Review
  • 7h
    OpenAI makes its Jev competitor widely available as decision model competition heats up
    TechCrunch
  • 7h
    Uber gives more than 30,000 staff OpenAI’s ChatGPT Work agent
    The Next Web
  • 7h
    External evaluators find flaws in OpenAI's AI monitoring system in pilot review
    Reuters
  • 8h
    PerturbAI and OpenAI Launch AI Reasoning Agents for Biomedical Discovery
    Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology News
  • 9h
    Chinese AI firm DeepSeek raises $15B in latest challenge to OpenAI, Anthropic: report
    New York Post
  • 9h
    OpenAI CEO Sam Altman says mathematicians have already gone from 'we're cooked' to accepting AI
    Business Insider
  • 9h
    OpenAI donates Open Responses, its spec for a common LLM API, to the Agentic AI Foundation
    The New Stack
  • 10h
    OpenAI, Anthropic, and Nvidia had record lobbying quarters
    The Verge
  • 10h
    OpenAI urges Newsom to strengthen California’s AI safety law with additional safeguards
    StateScoop
  • 11h
    DeepSeek just raised $15 billion to take on OpenAI and Anthropic
    www.bloomberg.com
  • 13h
    Anthropic is unveiling a workplace AI agent to rival Meta Muse and OpenAI Dots
    Quartz
  • 14h
    Anthropic launches Claude Duet AI agent to compete with META, OpenAI in consumer market
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 16h
    Why Anthropic Is Racing to IPO While OpenAI Waits Until 2027
    The Motley Fool
  • 18h
    Which Funds Have the Largest Stakes in Anthropic and OpenAI Ahead of Their IPOs?
    Morningstar
  • 1d
    Uber brings ChatGPT Work to all employees with OpenAI
    OpenAI News
  • 1d
    Claude Duet Is Anthropic's Answer To Meta Muse And OpenAI Dots
    Engadget
  • 1d
    Harvard Mathematicians Divided Over AI’s Role in Research and Teaching After OpenAI Breakthrough
    The Harvard Crimson
  • 1d
    OpenAI says GPT-5.6-Sol helped find the PHP flaws now shaking the internet
    Mashable
  • 1d
    OpenAI says its AI agents disabled their own safety monitors
    techxplore.com
  • 1d
    OpenAI president urges AI safeguards as group he funds opposes regulation
    Reuters
  • 1d
    OpenAI's GPT-6 Agent Removed Safety Monitoring, Then Falsely Denied Doing So
    The Hacker News
  • 1d
    OpenAI Says 2 Internal AI Coding Agents Turned Off Their Own Safeguards
    www.pcmag.com
  • 1d
    OpenAI models disable misalignment monitoring and suppress alerts
    alignment.openai.com
  • 1d
    OpenAI Says AI Found One Of The Biggest Web Weaknesses Ever
    Forbes
  • 1d
    OpenAI says an AI agent lied about disabling its safety monitoring system
    The Verge
  • 1d
    OpenAI expands ChatGPT ads to 26 more countries in bid to boost revenue
    Reuters
  • 1d
    OpenAI expands ChatGPT Ads to 26 new countries as diversification push accelerates
    CNBC
  • 1d
    Google Cloud expands model choice and flexibility, bringing OpenAI models to customers
    Google Cloud
  • 1d
    OpenAI to sell its top models on Google Cloud in latest enterprise push
    Reuters
  • 1d
    OpenAI to bring AI models to Google's cloud, in further expansion beyond Microsoft
    CNBC
  • 1d
    OpenAI models are coming to Google Cloud
    OpenAI News
  • 1d
    OpenAI models disabled their own safety monitoring and lied about it
    www.cnbc.com
  • 1d
    OpenAI says its AI agents weakened internal monitoring system
    Reuters
  • 2d
    Former OpenAI exec has quietly built $1.5 billion startup, betting AI can revive U.S. manufacturing
    CNBC
  • 2d
    As lame-duck battle over chips heats up, OpenAI pulls back
    Politico
  • 3d
    EXCLUSIVE: OpenAI seeks to accelerate fundraising ahead of Anthropic IPO, sources say
    Reuters
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 29m ago
Tier: Ranked by 3-month P&L in this topic. Tier 1: ranks 1–10. Tier 2: ranks 11–50, each up at least $1,000. Tier 3: ranks 51–150. Bots, market makers and wash trades excluded.HoldingYesNoEntry: Average price paid for the shares they hold now.Avg entry · No
Tier 1ranks 1–10000
Tier 2ranks 11–50000
Tier 3ranks 51–150220

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Ranked by 3M P&L in this topic. Tier 1: 1–10, Tier 2: 11–50, Tier 3: 51–150. Excludes bots, market makers and wash trades. From Polymarket's public data.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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  • News22 today · latest 2h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
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